skywaker9
The following is the updated version of a FAQ guide I published before OR's primary in May talking about how Oregon's Vote by Mail system works. In addition, I have added information on how to interpret Oregon's results on election night.
This diary is simply my fun post to let folks know how happy that I just got my ballot and have already filled it out here in Portland, OR! I plan to drop it off at my local library tomorrow. This thread will serve as a celebration of those who have already voted wherever you are!
Poll 96 votes Show Results Have you voted yet? Yes, in Oregon Yes, early voted in another state (Dsicuss Below) No, but I will early vote No, I will vote on election day No and I won't (You better be not a US Citizen to choose this one n/t) 96 votes Vote Now! Have you voted yet? Yes, in Oregon 18 votes Yes, early voted in another state (Dsicuss Below) 23 votes No, but I will early vote 33 votes No, I will vote on election day 20 votes No and I won't (You better be not a US Citizen to choose this one n/t) 2% 2 votes
In this edition of my reports on Oregon political news, I talk about how the Oregon Democrats keep improving their chances of a big win in 19 days. Namely, voter registration for Democrats has crushed all previously existing records and Jeff Merkley, for the second quarter in a row, outraised Gordon Smith.
Cross-Posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...
The latest in my postings on Oregon politics is a discussion of how I intend to vote when I get my ballot on Friday or Saturday. I am posting this now both to foster discussion and because, especially on the ballot measures, I am willing to listen to arguments on whether I am wrong to think about voting the way I intend to.
Poll 27 votes Show Results How would you vote on the Top Two Primary Measure (Measure 65)? Yes No 27 votes Vote Now! How would you vote on the Top Two Primary Measure (Measure 65)? Yes 5 votes No 22 votes
In this edition of my irregular series on Oregon political news, I discuss another set of interesting stories that have popped up. These include Sen. Wyden's (D-OR) new ad for Merkley as well as the Bill Sizemore's admission that he was using private foundation funds for his own purposes.
The following is my preview of the ALCS and NLCS, which begin later this week. Call this a nice break from the political grind as we discuss and enjoy America's pastime.
Poll 70 votes Show Results Who will win the WS? Tampa Bay Devil Rays Boston Red Sox LA Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies 70 votes Vote Now! Who will win the WS? Tampa Bay Devil Rays 8 votes Boston Red Sox 32 votes LA Dodgers 14 votes Philadelphia Phillies 16 votes
The following is my update of the races that will be contested next month in the state of Oregon. My projections will be updated probably one more time shortly before election day. I do not work for any campaign and my projections are my own.
Poll 34 votes Show Results What will the US Senate Outcome Smith by more than 10% Smith by 5-10% Smith by less than 5% Merkley by less than 5% Merkley by 5-10% Merkley by more than 10% 34 votes Vote Now! What will the US Senate Outcome Smith by more than 10% 3% 1 vote Smith by 5-10% 3% 1 vote Smith by less than 5% 3% 1 vote Merkley by less than 5% 24 votes Merkley by 5-10% 6 votes Merkley by more than 10% 3% 1 vote
This diary is a fun one for me to write. Simply put, it is about how the Republicans are absolutely losing faster than I even thought possible in my home state. Be confident of a win in Oregon folks.
For extra fun read this article on Oregon Rep. Peter DeFazio's new plan for the bailout: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...
Poll 70 votes Show Results How many OR House Seats will the Dems win this year? Less than 30 (Lose the Majority) 30 (Tie) 31 32 33 34 35 36 36-40 More than 40 70 votes Vote Now! How many OR House Seats will the Dems win this year? Less than 30 (Lose the Majority) 1% 1 vote 30 (Tie) 0% 0 votes 31 3% 2 votes 32 4% 3 votes 33 7% 5 votes 34 7 votes 35 17 votes 36 8 votes 36-40 10 votes More than 40 17 votes
Even though one playoff spot, the AL Central title, is still up for grabs, I really did not want to wait until Wednesday to write this diary previewing the playoffs. Take a break from the depressing bailout coverage and let's discuss the great American past-time
Poll 174 votes Show Results Who will win the WS? Chicago Cubs Chicago White Sox Minnesota Twins Milwaukie Brewers LA Dodgers Philadelphia Phillies LA Angels Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 174 votes Vote Now! Who will win the WS? Chicago Cubs 60 votes Chicago White Sox 3% 6 votes Minnesota Twins 6% 10 votes Milwaukie Brewers 9% 16 votes LA Dodgers 6% 11 votes Philadelphia Phillies 23 votes LA Angels 8% 14 votes Boston Red Sox 22 votes Tampa Bay Rays 7% 12 votes
The following is my analysis of the latest numbers put out by Survey USA. I am choosing to analyze this both because I want to explain to folks what is going on but also because SUSA does provide crosstabs, making analysis easier. This is NOT just another poll diary.
Poll 185 votes Show Results How much will Obama win Oregon by? He won't win 1-3% 3-5% 5-10% 10-15% More than 15% 185 votes Vote Now! How much will Obama win Oregon by? He won't win 2% 3 votes 1-3% 1% 2 votes 3-5% 26 votes 5-10% 76 votes 10-15% 68 votes More than 15% 5% 10 votes
I had not planned to publish another Oregon political news roundup but a few stories in today's news cry out for me to make them known to the blogosphere. They are:
Cross-posted from Loaded Orygun: http://www.loadedorygun.net/...
Poll 60 votes Show Results What will Gordon Smith eventually vote on the bailout plan? Yes No Other (Present or No Vote) 60 votes Vote Now! What will Gordon Smith eventually vote on the bailout plan? Yes 38 votes No 11 votes Other (Present or No Vote) 11 votes
Enough has happened in the past few weeks for me to do one of my occasional Oregon political news roundups. Specifically, the following four stories will be covered:
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