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View Diary: Eggs on their faces: Pollsters Mason Dixon and Suffolk incredibly wrong (82 comments)

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  •  Unkewing is dead! (1+ / 0-)
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    vlajos

    Dean Chambers admits his mistakes and sees the light about Rasmussen. Here is a link to the full article: Business Insider.  And here are some excerpts:

    Dean Chambers, the man who garnered praise from the right and notoriety on the left for his "Unskewed Polling" site, admitted today that his method was flawed.

    "Nate Silver was right, and I was wrong," Chambers said in a phone interview.

    ...

    But as it turned out, the pollsters were right — self-identified Democrats outnumbered Republicans by 6% in election exit polls.

    "I think it was much more in the Democratic direction than most people predicted," Chambers said. "But those assumptions — my assumptions — were wrong."

    Chambers' official Electoral College prediction ended up being much more tame than other conservatives, including Dick Morris. Chambers predicted Romney would win 275 electoral votes to Obama's 263.

    But he said he probably won't go back to "unskewing" polls next time. He actually thinks conservative-leaning pollsters like Scott Rasmussen have a lot more explaining to do.

    "He has lost a lot of credibility, as far as I'm concerned," Chambers said. "He did a lot of surveys. A lot of those surveys were wrong."

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