Skip to main content

View Diary: An ideological realignment driven by demography (130 comments)

Comment Preferences

  •  The decline of the GOP could lead to a Dem split? (0+ / 0-)

    Suppose the GOP doubles down on being the Old White Male party. Then it is demographically doomed to becoming more and more irrelevant.

    This is nothing but good new for the Democrats, right?

    Well, yes, in the short term. But let's engage in some creative crystal-ball gazing about the more distant future, say 20 years on.

    Suppose the GOP shrinks down to the point where no GOP candidate has a shot at the Presidency and the Dems have comfortable control of both parties. Then strains may begin to show in the Democratic coalition - factions will start to complain that the giant coalition is no longer addressing their needs.

    Those factions could break off to form a third party. Or possibly the GOP might reconfigure itself so as to absorb one of the factions. (If you're skeptical of the second possibility, don't forget that the GOP did just that with segregationists in 1968.)

    Just idle speculation. But clearly there are big changes in party alignment up ahead ...

    •  That's the point that I am getting at (0+ / 0-)

      That ideological shifts aren't going to come with just changing one party. both parties will be changed by a shift.

      Whether the Democrats smartly shift to the left to co opt the shift versus staying as it is today like the GOP so that the changes may shift things politically in other ways is the open ended question to me.

      The advantage in the next few election cycles may be Democratic, but the shifts will bring with it more than just partisan gains and changes.

Subscribe or Donate to support Daily Kos.

Click here for the mobile view of the site