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View Diary: An ideological realignment driven by demography (130 comments)

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  •  Noise (0+ / 0-)

    John Sides and David Broder, along with most pundits, are no better at picking out patterns from the background noise of politics than are most stock brokers at picking winners (note: dart throws do better than most brokers).  An election is still just a point in time survey.  There is a lot of noise (both rhetorical and statistical) in elections.  If it weren't so historians could be replaced by pundits. If seeing trends were so easy, this election would have been all about global warming.

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