On the day after the foreign policy debate that polling showed was a decisive win for the President...
...and when 5 of 9 national polls moved in the President's direction...
...and when Nate Silver at fivethirtyeight gave Obama a 68.1% chance of winning (virtually unchanged from the day before the debate)...
...the Intrade share for an Obama win lost nearly 12% down to a 54% chance of winning as of this morning.
It wouldn't take much to manipulate this market which is watched as an indicator of where the race stands. The GOP doesn't miss a trick when it comes to managing expectations (e.g. Rasmussen polling) and so it wouldn't surprise me if they are also gaming this in order to ad to their momentum meme.
What do you think: paranoid or plausible?