Colorado Sen. Mark Udall, pulling away from his nutbag Republican opponent.
Once upon a time, Republicans were dreaming of Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell. Now, Mitch isn't looking so hot in his reelection bid, and as for the Senate, Republicans are fading.
In Colorado, an NBC/Marist poll finds incumbent Dem Mark Udall leading 48-41 thanks to a 12-point advantage among women and a 31-point lead among Latinos.
In Michigan's open Senate seat, NBC/Marist finds Democrat Gary Peters leading Republican Terri Lynn Land 43-37. That 37 percent is particularly woeful, and while Land is a woman, Peters leads among women by 13 points. Imagine that! In any case, not sure why Republicans are pretending Michigan is in play. It's not.
In Kentucky, PPP had Democrat Allison Lundergan Grimes up 48-46 a few weeks ago. Among women? Grimes 48, McConnell 45, so not a huge gap, but all the difference in the toplines.
Meanwhile, the famously prickly Beltway-ish prognosticator Stu Rothenberg has just moved North Carolina to Tilts Dem, from tossup.
Knowledgeable observers agree Sen. Kay Hagan’s numbers crashed toward the end of last year, but they have recovered somewhat, and, more importantly, Democrats have scored points against GOP challenger Thom Tillis.
What support Republicans have in the Pollster ratings comes in large part from a flood of right-wing pollsters. It's almost comical—look at the
Arkansas chart. It features
seven different Republican pollsters in the last two months alone.
This is still a tight battle. Dems continue to look poor in Montana, South Dakota, and West Virginia. Louisiana is tough because of the 50 percent requirement, which will inevitably lead to a December runoff. Arkansas and North Carolina will be tight.
That right there would give Republicans the six seats they need for a majority. But their efforts to expand the field to Colorado, Michigan, Iowa, New Hampshire and Minnesota aren't going to bear fruit. And Dems are competitive in Kentucky and Georgia. So things are tight, but looking better by the month. And by alienating women, Latinos and African Americans, Republicans are doing everything possible to help Democrats survive.